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Chapman University to buy historic Killefer school, one of the first in California to desegregate

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One of the first schools in California to desegregate could soon be restored and turned into a home for one of Chapman University’s academic programs.

The Orange Unified School District board recently approved selling the former Killefer Elementary School at 541 N. Lemon St. to Chapman for $3.7 million. Chapman has more than a year to finalize its acquisition of the property, which is on the National Register of Historic Places, but the sale could mark the end to a years-long saga over how to preserve and reuse the campus that has been left empty for decades.

“If the sale goes through, we will restore the building, preserve it back to what it was in 1931 and plan on using it for academic purposes,” Chapman Vice President of Community Relations Jack Raubolt said at the district’s Jan. 16 meeting. “It will be beautiful to put it back to what it was.”

Chapman spokeswoman Amy Stevens said once the university has the property in hand it will decide how to best honor the site’s history. But Chapman will do so “in a way that will allow public access,” a university press release said.

Chapman has yet to decide which of its programs would be located at the school, officials said.

The elementary campus was built in 1931 for white students. In 1944, OUSD voluntarily desegregated the school, three years before the Mendez, et al. v. Westminster decision mandated California schools integrate.

Orange Unified closed the campus in 1980 and Santiago Canyon College began using the building for its adult learning center. The college left the property before 2000.

The Orange school district put the property up for sale in 2014; Chapman put in a bid but was the lowest of the offers received. But between then and now, several developers backed out of buying the property, leaving Chapman as the last remaining bidder interested.

“We felt it was in our best interest to complete this transaction at the bid amount offered,” said David Rivera, the district’s assistant superintendent. “Otherwise, we would have started the process over and further delay the sale of the property.”

Money from the sale will go toward improving district facilities, he said.

Old Towne Preservation Association Preservation Director Jeff Frankel said his group had encouraged OUSD to sell the property to the university.

“We’re very happy Chapman is purchasing the school. We expect good things,” he said. “They do things that most people wouldn’t do. They go over and above.”

Jerome Ryan, who created a group calling for the property to be preserved, said he is “cautiously optimistic” about the sale, although he wanted the district to re-open the bidding process.

“With the amount of time that has gone on,” he said, “there should have been a new notification and a period for informed public comment.”

He said he wants Chapman to honor the school’s history by going beyond “a token display case and a plaque on the ground.”

“This school tells the story of the old civil rights movement.”


Award-winning films screened weekly at Tuesday Talkies series in Laguna Beach

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Join film buffs to screen award-winning recent cinema from around the globe for Tuesday Talkies at the Susi Q. The class meets Tuesdays through March 31, from 12:30 – 3:30 p.m. This semester’s theme features mostly recent award-winning movies from worldwide film festivals. Stay for a class discussion.

Screening on Jan. 28: The Guilty, 2018, Denmark, 85 min. Gustav Moller stars in this crime drama about a kidnapped woman’s call to a police dispatcher. The film won 36 awards.

Register online at lagunabeachgov.org or at the Susi Q front desk. The cost is $60 – a $5 senior discount and a $5 early bird discount will be given at the time of registration.

IF YOU GO

When: 12:30-3:30 p.m. Tuesdays

Where: Laguna Beach Community and Susi Q Center, 380 Third Street, Laguna Beach

Information: 949-464-6645

 

Santa Anita consensus picks for Friday Jan. 24

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The consensus box of picks comes from handicappers Bob Mieszerski, Art Wilson, Terry Turrell and Eddie Wilson. Here are the picks for Friday, Jan. 24 for racing at Santa Anita.

Trouble viewing on mobile device? See consensus picks

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Tuxedo cat Rubie is active, full of fun

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Breed: Domestic shorthair

Age: 9 months

Gender: Spayed female

Rubie’s story: Rubie is an adorable tuxedo kitten. She’s super-sweet and as talkative as can be, always letting you know when she’s hungry or in need of attention. She’s playful and active and loves to chase and wrestle with other cats. She also enjoys mice, balls and hanging toys, as well as climbing on cat trees, chairs, window ledges and anything else she can reach. She loves being made a fuss of but doesn’t have the patience for sitting on laps. She’d love a home where she can play and explore – simple things like stacked boxes or empty paper bags are just fine. Rubie is spayed, vaccinated and microchipped. She has been treated for fleas and worms and tested for FIV and FeLV.

Adoption fee: $200

Adoption procedure: DREAM Animal Rescue’s adoption process includes an application, home visit, adoption fee and adoption contract. Complete the rescue’s adoption application at dreamanimalrescue.org.

Placentia puts portable restrooms out for 2 homeless encampments

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The city has placed portable restrooms and dumpsters at two homeless encampments in Placentia to address health and sanitation concerns.

Port-a-potties will be cleaned weekly and the dumpsters unlocked and opened on Thursdays for people to place their trash.

“The lack of public restrooms in the area has led to concerns from the surrounding businesses,” a city statement said. “It is our hope that the Porta-Potties will mitigate the concerns expressed by the business community.”

The encampments are on the 500 block of West Crowther Avenue, with about 30 people, and the 400 block of Industrial Way.

It is a trial run, city officials said: “If either of these are misused in any way, shape, or form, they will be removed immediately. Our homeless liaison officers have been in coordination with the individuals within the encampment to ensure that they understand that these facilities are to be used only for their intended purpose. If they are misused, they will be removed.”

Only trash needs to go in the dumpsters, not human waste or used needles, officials said. Special containers for discarding the needles already are provided.

Commenters on social media worried about the cost to the city and encouraging encampments.

The city has done a complete clean-out of the area at least once and more regular cleanings also take place. It gets expensive having to deal with the hazardous waste, officials said. Providing the portable restrooms is less expensive.

The two restrooms cost the city $190 a month and the dumpsters are $358 a month.

Providing the restrooms and dumpsters is temporary, until a new homeless shelter is opened, which is expected to be in March.

It will be one of two Navigation Centers north Orange County cities are investing in to provide homeless people a place with proper facilities as well as support services to help them get into more permanent housing. A second shelter is under construction in Buena Park.

LeBron and Kobe had different paths to getting buckets

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Editor’s note: This is the Friday, Nov. 24 edition of the Purple & Bold Lakers newsletter. To receive the newsletter in your inbox, sign up here.


NEW YORK – There’s a short video the NBA released years ago from a USA Basketball gathering as LeBron James tucked in his shirt into his warm-up pants and did his best imitation of the Black Mamba. 

With his thumbs, index fingers and pinkies of each hand sticking out, James waved his hands back and forth, as the rest of the roster — including Bryant himself — guffawed. It was a signal that James had seen Bryant give to Phil Jackson for years, which he came to learn meant an isolation to the elbow, Bryant’s preferred play to his preferred shooting spot.

“All that means is get the hell out of the way,” James quipped to Bryant. “I figured it out now, Kob. You better change your signals.”

It’s hard to think of a more succinct way to paint the differences of the two men, who are on the cusp of crossing paths on one of the NBA’s most hallowed lists. James is a game-reader, a man whose mind has been arguably his greatest tool to uncoding the right play of the moment. Bryant was a powerful force of will who wanted you to get the hell out of his way — and it was hard to stop even if you knew what was coming next.

This thing is about to happen: LeBron James needs just 18 points to pass Bryant’s 33,643 career mark. It’s one small step for James, who has averaged more than 27 points per game in his career, but it’s a giant leap to No. 3 among all-time scorers and past a player whose shadow looms over him since he joined the Lakers in 2018.

When Bryant passed Michael Jordan in 2014, the parallels were unmistakable. Bryant’s game, in many ways, is a tribute to his ardent devotion to studying Jordan, to mimic his moves, his fadeaway jumpers, his array of spins and fakes to get to the basket any way possible.

James is more a contemporary of Bryant. Their careers overlapped for 13 years. Bryant made an impression on James, entering the league seven years before him and rising quickly as a young phenom.

“Seeing him come straight out of high school, he is someone that I used as inspiration,” James said recently. “It was like, ‘Wow.’ Seeing a kid 17 years old come into the NBA and trying to make an impact on a franchise, I used it as motivation.”

It’s harder to compare the two stylistically. Bryant was incredibly athletic as a young player, and had remarkable explosion that made him a spectacular dunk threat, but he never possessed the bulldozing physicality of James’ unusually burly frame. James developed midrange and long-range shooting touch to develop his offensive game, but he’s never quite had the finesse of Bryant’s elaborate collection of face-up moves.

Mamba mentality? James has taken plenty of game-winning shot attempts, but you’d be hard-pressed to say his ball dominance, which can just as often lead to a pass as a shot, mirror’s Bryant’s confidence in his own scoring ability. And why not, given that Bryant’s best scoring season of 35.1 points per game in 2005-06 took 14 years to be broached again (by James Harden)? At his best, nobody could touch him. The day he scored 81 points against Jalen Rose and the Toronto Raptors is essentially a Lakers Nation holiday.

The two men are in the same lonely neighborhood of the best scorers of all time despite each having a completely different ethos. A reporter Wednesday asked James what he had taken from Bryant and incorporated into his own game. James deferred.

“I can’t sit here and say that I did, because we were just two totally different players,” he said. “His willingness to do whatever it takes to win is something that you admired and love his drive to get better and better every year, but as far as his game, we’re different players. I’m more of a facilitator. He’s a natural-born scorer.”

That idea – that Bryant was born with a prenatural competitive desire that blows away all other competition – is one reason he is lionized among Laker fans. The romantic notion that Bryant was an assassin who wanted the ball in his hands for the last shot is one that has given some select Lakers fans a preference for Kobe over LeBron no matter what James does. 

What might be understated about the way James plays is how much it’s changed over the years while maintaining clockwork consistency. James has never averaged fewer than 20 points per game in a season, yet his shooting depth has lengthened, and he’s become comfortable in every area of the court. During his 2012-13 Miami season, Cleaning the Glass had him in at least the 80th percentile in shooting accuracy in literally every zone of the floor, finishing at least 40 percent from all ranges.

In his prime, he was one of the best finishers at his position ever. Now, he’s developed a game that’s adaptable, still averaging 25.2 points in Year 17 while playing alongside another elite scorer and leading the league in assists (10.8).

It’s hard to choose what’s more remarkable: the total body of work over his career, or the fact that James is still one of the game’s best at putting the ball in the bucket.

“The way he’s been doing it, and how he’s been doing it for so many years without the bumps in the road is the way he’s been able to catch that and it looks like he has a lot of years left to do some damage is what makes it impressive,” Danny Green said. “It seems like he’s still at the top of his game, and it’s Year 17, so he’s got at least three more years left of playing good quality basketball.”

But first: Philadelphia. It’s not lost on anyone that James could break this mark just a dozen miles from Lower Merion High School, where Bryant’s legacy really started taking off. James said he’s not counting points — he hopes to break the mark organically — but you’d be foolish to believe he doesn’t know exactly how many points he needs. He experienced a similar milestone last year when he passed Michael Jordan, coming out a little skittish but eventually finding a rhythm, then shooting his fingers off like pistols when he knew he had overtaken Mike.

The 76ers are expected to stop the game when James passes the mark. Obviously if it doesn’t happen on Saturday, the Lakers will host the Clippers on the 28th, and would surely stop the game then. There’s no word yet on if Bryant will attend either game.

For as much as Bryant wished to smother would-be challengers as a player, retirement seems to have taken the edge off his killer instinct. He told The Athletic last week about James: “I think it’s great for him. I mean, the amount of work he’s put in over his career, consistency, I think it’s awesome.”

James, still chasing Bryant’s five career championships, said something with a similar spirit.

“Kobe’s a legend,” he said Wednesday night. “That’s for damn sure.”

– Kyle Goon


Editor’s note: Thanks for reading the Purple & Bold Lakers newsletter. To receive the newsletter in your inbox, sign up here.


A Click off the old block

 

Coronavirus outbreak closes Shanghai Disneyland and other China tourist destinations

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Shanghai Disneyland has shut its gates and will remain closed indefinitely amid the coronavirus outbreak that has killed dozens, infected hundreds and restricted millions from traveling to China tourist destinations during the Lunar New Year holiday.

Shanghai Disneyland announced that the theme park and the adjacent shopping mall will temporarily close Saturday, Jan. 25 due to the coronavirus outbreak.

“In response to the prevention and control of the disease outbreak and in order to ensure the health and safety of our guests and cast, Shanghai Disney Resort is temporarily closing Shanghai Disneyland,” the park said in a statement posted on its website. “We will continue to carefully monitor the situation and be in close contact with the local government and we will announce the reopening date upon confirmation.”

Sign up for our Park Life newsletter and find out what’s new and interesting every week at Southern California’s theme parks. Subscribe here.

Coronavirus symptoms include fever, coughing and difficulty breathing. Most of the fatalities from the outbreak have been elderly patients with pre-existing conditions, according to the World Health Organization

The coronavirus outbreak and a fear of a spike in the infection rate has forced the closure of tourist destinations across China and put airlines and hotels on high alert during the Lunar New Year when hundreds of millions of Chinese travel domestically and internationally.

The closure of the $5.5 billion Shanghai Disneyland that opened in 2016 comes at the beginning of the week-long Lunar New Year holiday, one of the busiest travel seasons of the year in China. Last year, Shanghai Disneyland was so crowded during the Lunar New Year that the park stopped selling tickets to visitors.

Disney’s mainland China park planned a monthlong Lunar New Year celebration of the Year of the Mouse with Mickey and Minnie as the hosts. Shanghai Disneyland said theme park admissions, show tickets and hotel deposits would be refunded.

Hong Kong Disneyland has suspended meet-and-greet photo opportunities with Disney princesses and other “face characters” over health concerns, according to WDW News Today. Face characters such as Moana, Anna and Elsa have no scheduled meet-and-greet times at the Hong Kong park while “sculpted characters” like Mickey Mouse continue to meet with visitors. The coronavirus outbreak comes on the heels of anti-Beijing protests in Hong Kong that have battered attendance at the Disney park.

SEE ALSO: Ranking the best and worst Disney theme parks in the world

Some of China’s best-known tourist attractions have been closed by the coronavirus outbreak, including the National Museum of China on Tiananmen Square, a section of the Great Wall of China near Beijing and the Forbidden City.

China has imposed travel restrictions in at least 11 cities preventing more than 30 million people from using trains, buses and certain roads.

Seven Chinese films set to premiere during the holiday have been postponed during what is typically the biggest week of the year at China’s box office. McDonald’s has closed fast food restaurants in five Chinese cities.

More than 20 coronavirus cases have been confirmed outside mainland China in Hong Kong, Thailand, Taiwan, Singapore, Japan, Vietnam, South Korea and the United States.

More than 2,000 travelers from China have been screened for the virus at five U.S. airports, including LAX and San Francisco International, according to CNN.

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has identified two coronavirus cases in the U.S. and is monitoring more than 60 patients in 22 states, CNN reported.

Heisler: Alex Caruso and the Lakers are acing chemistry

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So much for Alex Caruso, All-Star.

The voting was fun while it lasted for Laker fans and Caruso, aka The Bald Mamba, who found himself No. 4 among Western Conference guards going into last week’s final tabulation.

No, really. That was No. 4 in the entire conference, ahead of stars like Russell Westbrook and Devin Booker.

Light-hearted as it was, it was an authentic folk movement, as opposed to the modern practice of teams getting out the vote. The Lakers have never bothered to do that as one of the least-active marketing organizations with star-studded teams that have long sold themselves.

Happily for what legitimacy the NBA’s selection process retains, Caruso dropped off the leaderboard in the final voting.

Nevertheless, it was a huge compliment for a 25-year-old journeyman with a look all his own (thinning hair, white headband) … a South Bay Laker a year ago who wasn’t on the NBA roster to stay until March.

He wasn’t even a star in the G League, No. 7 in scoring on the team behind journeymen Scott Machado, Travis Wear, Johnathan Williams and Spencer Hawes, as well as NBA roster players Svi Mykhailiuk and Moe Wagner … and, worse for a new-era point guard, making only 27 percent of his 3-point attempts.

Making a quantum leap into Lakers lore, the Bald Mamba now plays an efficient 19 minutes per game, making 36 percent of his 3-point tries … and is No. 2 in the entire NBA in points allowed per possession, suggesting he knows where he’s supposed to be in Coach Frank Vogel’s defensive scheme and plays alongside teammates who do, too.

(LeBron James is No. 1 in points allowed per possession, suggesting he wasn’t really kidding when he was caught on camera joking with a referee about going back to defending.)

Of course, it’s not Caruso’s quiet contribution that excited blasé Lakers fans into voting for him, but his where-did-that-come-from dunks.

The excitement isn’t the point. The efficiency is, not just Caruso’s but the entire roster’s.

Unlike last season, which looked promising but fell flat with James and a young, talented supporting cast of Brandon Ingram, Kyle Kuzma, Lonzo Ball and Josh Hart, these newly assembled Lakers featured a new coaching staff and nine new players as the consensus No. 5 pick in the West. But they were cohesive from the start.

The teams picked ahead of them all looked more cohesive, none more than the Clippers, who upgraded from Tobias Harris and Danilo Gallinari to Kawhi Leonard and Paul George and already had Lou Williams and Montrezl Harrell – the top scoring bench duo in NBA history – in their current roles, along with Patrick Beverley, Ivica Zubac, Landry Shamet and JaMychal Green.

Showing you never can really tell, the Clippers are now in the midst of a crisis, with Harrell earlier this month ripping unnamed teammates … which insiders took as a complaint about Leonard and George getting preferential treatment … and Coach Doc Rivers ripping Trez the next day for telling so much to the press.

Then there were the Lakers.

“It would probably be irresponsible to think it’s all going to happen overnight and that we’re going to start the season with great cohesiveness,” Vogel said in training camp.

“There are going to be bumps in the road, there are nights where it might be ugly and guys are getting to know each other on both ends of the floor … figuring out what their role is going to be on this team.”

Surprise!

Their stars meshed, predictable as that was with bigs and perimeter players a natural fit, and especially these two.

James, a dominating perimeter player, had never played alongside a big the caliber of Davis.

Davis, the most versatile of bigs … and a close friend of LeBron, who had convinced A.D. to come … had never played alongside a perimeter player like LeBron.

The surprise was how the role players slipped seamlessly into place … with most signed off the waiver wire … none for more than two seasons as the team set up its salary cap for 2021 (Giannis Antetokounmpo, anyone?).

The division of duties turned out to be natural, too.

Stars: Whether your players fit or not, you’ve got to be good enough. These are the players who decide that … and have. James and Davis do everything, starting with the 6-foot-9, 250-pound LeBron playing point guard and leading the NBA at 10.8 assists per game.

Bigs: JaVale McGee and Dwight Howard aren’t all-around players, but they are big, physical shot-blockers. With A.D., they’re perfect for Vogel’s protect-the-rim scheme that has them No. 1 in blocks and No. 4 in defensive rating.

Bench scorer: That’s Kuzma, in the one part that hasn’t worked so well.

Kuzma has been great in six starts, averaging 20 points in 32 minutes … but averages just 12 points with 0.8 assists in 23 minutes when he comes off the bench.

Nor do metrics suggest he’s a great defender. Of the 10 Lakers playing 15 minutes or more, he’s No. 9 in points allowed per possession.

More minutes would help. Of course, so would better defense.

Everyone else: The other five Lakers averaging 15 minutes – Caruso, Danny Green, Avery Bradley, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Rajon Rondo – are all-around role players, solid one-on-one defenders who carry out their assignments. None of them is J.J. Redick, but they move the ball and knock down enough of the open shots James and Davis create for them.

Of the five, only Bradley, at 26 percent, is shooting below 35 percent on 3-pointers, and he’s a career 36 percent shooter from the arc.

Not that it’s hard to see when cohesion goes out the window, like a team president who says he’s not having fun.

For years after Bryant blew out his Achilles, the Lakers weren’t good enough to make the playoffs. Last season they were but melted down.

Embattled Lakers GM Rob Pelinka just got a new contract for bringing in the right guys as well as Davis, after the horrors of last spring when the departing Magic Johnson repeatedly bashed him as a backstabber.

Even as Johnson railed at Pelinka, Lakers controlling owner Jeanie Buss posted a picture of her and Magic at dinner … presumably to reassure Laker fans, but actually suggesting she didn’t know whom to turn to.

So much for the bad old days, at least for the moment.

In the biggest surprise of all, with the players, coaches and front office all fitting, it’s a new, cohesive day in Lakerdom.


Video shows deadly confrontation between man, Anaheim police

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Anaheim police shot a man to death Dec. 12 after he wrestled a gun away from an officer, according to a video released by the Anaheim Police Department on Saturday, Jan. 25.

An image from a video filmed by an Anaheim police officer’s uniform-mounted camera shows the moment the officer is saying that suspect Taevonte Art Emmanuel had taken his gun during a fight on Dec. 12, 2019. Police then shot Emmanuel to death. (Courtesy of Anaheim Police Department)

“He’s trying to take my gun – trying to take my gun,” the officer can be heard shouting as he and two other officers fought the man. The officer’s uniform-mounted camera is pointed toward the ceiling of a parking garage during the fight, indicating that the officer was likely on his back. “He’s got it! He’s got it!” the officer then yells.

Moments later, at least six shots can be heard. The suspect, Taevonte Art Emmanuel, 34, of Anaheim, is then shown lying face down. He died at a hospital, Anaheim police said. No officers were reported shot.

Investigations by the Police Department and Orange County District Attorney’s Office are ongoing, Deputy Chief Rick Armendariz said in the video.

“We withhold judgment and do not draw any conclusions about whether or not our officers acted in a manner consistent with our policies and in accordance with the law until all the facts are known and the investigations are complete,” Armendariz said.

Taevonte Art Emmanuel, 34, of Anaheim, was shot to death by Anaheim police on Dec. 12, 2019. (Courtesy of Anaheim Police Department)

Officers were called to an apartment complex near East Street and Lincoln Avenue about 10 p.m. when a woman reported that a man was screaming and banging on her door and windows, demanding to be let in. Officers learned that the man’s wife had taken refuge in the apartment after she said her husband hit her, causing her to bleed. The man and his wife left before officers arrived.

Emmanuel is later shown on a balcony, walking away from officers after they asked to speak with him. They caught up with him at the entrance to the underground garage, where he refused commands to sit down and later to allow himself to be handcuffed.

“I’m not putting my hands behind my back,” Emmanuel said.

Two officers then attempted to grab his arms. Emmanuel fought, and an officer shouted, “Stop resisting!” Moments later, the officer said Emmanuel was attempting to take his gun, and then said Emmanuel had it.

One officer then yells, “Move! Move! Move! Move! Move! Move!” before the gunfire is heard. The video shows officers handcuffing the man and then providing medical attention until paramedics arrived.

Two of the officers’ cameras were knocked off their uniforms and landed lens-down during the fight, though they continued to record audio, Sgt. Jacob Gallacher said in the video. The officers’ names were not disclosed.

Emmanuel had convictions for drug and firearms violations, burglary, receiving stolen property and domestic violence, Armendariz said.

Two-time CIF champion Dave White returns to Edison football as assistant coach

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Dave White is back with Edison football.

The longtime coach who retired after leading the Chargers to a CIF-SS title in 2016 amid the #Win4White rallying cry has joined Coach Jeff Grady’s staff as a wide receivers/defensive backs coach, the team announced Friday.

Why did White return?

“Bleed green and gold,” he said. “Forty-two years there as a player and coach. Love the coaches, players and parents. Coming back home.”

White said before retiring that he planned to watch his son Garrett play at Yale. Garrett finished his senior season in the fall.

White also said that he was open to helping at Edison on a part-time basis, though Mater Dei coach Bruce Rollinson never hid his desire to add his friend to his coaching staff.

White coached Edison for 31 seasons, leading the Chargers to two section titles and and 14 Sunset League titles. He also was a two-time Orange County Register coach of the year.

He posted a 238-119-3 career record at his alma mater. He played and coached for Bill Workman.

Grady played quarterback for White and took the reins from his mentor in 2017. With Grady as head coach, the Chargers have gone 22-13 with two trips to the CIF-SS quarterfinals but no league titles.

Suspected car burglar shot and killed by Anaheim homeowner

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A suspected burglar was shot and killed by an Anaheim homeowner after he was spotted on a security camera attempting to break into the homeowner’s vehicle Saturday morning, Jan. 25, authorities said.

Anaheim police received a call about 2:30 a.m. of a shooting that took place in the 800 block of South Westchester Drive, Sgt. Shane Carringer said.

Officers learned the homeowner had spotted the suspected burglar on his security camera and went outside to confront him, Carringer said.

At some point during the confrontation, the homeowner shot the alleged burglary suspect. The suspect, identified only as a 20-year-old Anaheim man, was taken to a hospital, but died of his injuries, Carringer said.

Homicide detectives were investigating and the homeowner was being cooperative. The homeowner has not been arrested.

Police activity in the West Anaheim neighborhood of single-family homes came as a surprise as neighbors awakened on a quiet Saturday morning. Most said they weren’t aware of what had happened until they saw police vehicles and yellow tape on the street.

The neighborhood is quiet and many of the homes are occupied by residents who have been there for decades, said neighbor Jill Kline, 64.

“Most have been here for a long time and their kids are gone,” she said.

The home believed to be where the shooting took place is owned by a family who neighbors described as a nice, young couple with two children.

Anyone who may have seen or heard the shooting, or is aware of vehicle break-ins near the area, is urged to call Anaheim police at 714-765-1900.

This is a developing story and will be updated as information becomes available.

UCLA men’s basketball knows defense will be key at No. 12 Oregon

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UCLA did not take a single trip to the free-throw line in the first half.

However, it was the 16 made second-half free throws, including nine straight in the game’s final two minutes, that ultimately sealed the Bruins’ 62-58 win over Oregon State on Thursday night in Corvallis.

“You’ve got to take advantage of all the buckets you could get,” junior guard Chris Smith, who led UCLA with 15 points, told media following the game. “That’s the easiest shot we’re going to get. And in a crowd like this, on the road, you’ve got to make as many of those as you can.”

As UCLA (10-9 overall, 3-3 Pac-12) was earning its second road trip victory of Pac-12 play, just 50 minutes south, the Bruins’ next competitor, No. 12 Oregon (16-4, 5-2), was battling through a double-overtime defeat of USC in Eugene.

In order to slow down the Ducks, UCLA knows it needs to carry its defensive effort from the first half of Thursday’s game against OSU throughout all 40 minutes without letting foul trouble get in the way.

“We’re going to use this momentum, roll into Eugene and try to keep the defensive effort up, because that’s what got us the win tonight.” Smith said.

The Bruins held the Beavers to 6-of-19 shooting in the first half, keeping OSU leading scorer Tres Tinkle without a basket. However, the Beavers were able to create an 18-4 run in the second half as not only did Smith foul out, but five other Bruins recorded three or more personal fouls.

Oregon, coming off its second overtime win in less than week, is led by senior point guard and reigning Pac-12 Tournament Most Outstanding Player Payton Pritchard, with 19.8 points and 36.3 minutes per game.

“Payton Pritchard — right now, the NCAA should make him the poster child for college basketball,” UCLA head coach Mick Cronin said earlier this week. “He’s everything that’s right about college basketball. He stayed at his school through tough times, and now, I mean if you could pick a guard in college basketball to have on your team for the NCAA Tournament, I think most people who really watch college basketball would pick him.”

UCLA (10-9, 3-3) at No. 12 Oregon (16-4, 5-2)

When: 2 p.m. Sunday

Where: Matthew Knight Arena, Eugene, Ore.

TV/ Radio: FOX/ AM 1150

Car crash into Tustin home kills man, injures girl

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TUSTIN — A man was killed and a girl was hurt Saturday when the man’s car slammed into a home in Tustin, police said.

The crash happened at 2:24 a.m. in the 13000 block of Iroquois, said Tustin Police Lt. Andrew Birozy.

The man died at the scene. His name was withheld pending notification of family.

The girl was taken to a hospital for treatment of her injuries, Birozy said.

According to police, the driver was going east on San Juan Street at a high rate of speed. The car went through the intersection at Browning Avenue, crashed through a cinder block wall and then into the house, Birozy said. Investigators are looking at the possibility that drugs and or alcohol may have played a role in the accident.

The people who owned the house were home at the time of the crash, Birozy said. Several people inside the home suffered minor injuries from flying debris. However, none of those injured in the home were hospitalized.

The home’s owner Tito Perez told KTLA5 that his daughter had some friends over for a sleepover, but they escaped injury.

The crash was being investigated by Tustin police. The department shut down the intersection of San Juan Street and Browning Avenue for the crash investigation. It was expected to be closed until around noon.

Recipe: Black Bean ‘Caviar’ with pita chips will score points at your Super Bowl gathering

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For many, Super Bowl gatherings are as much about food as football. I’m enthusiastic about the dishes that have become traditional game day fare, but I think augmenting the menu with a few more healthful options is considerate.

The Black Bean “Caviar” recipe found in “Weight Watchers All-Time Favorites” (Wiley, $29.95) is a tasty alternative to mayonnaise-laden dips (and only requires about a 5-minute prep time). The book’s analysis states that 1/4 cup “caviar” atop four toasted whole-wheat pita wedges contains 108 calories, 3 grams of fat, 17 grams of carbohydrates and 4 grams of protein.

Drained and rinsed canned black beans are tossed with a little crumbled feta cheese and minced garlic, along with olive oil, black pepper and a tablespoon of prepared olive tapenade.

The tapenade gives the mix a delicious flavor boost. Made from black or green olives, it’s a versatile condiment that can add pizzazz atop lots of dishes, such as grilled fish or poultry, roasted vegetables or grains. Save time by using a store-bought version. Trader Joe’s usually stocks it and I recently found an Italian-made version at Albertson’s next to the olive section.

Black Bean “Caviar” with Pita Chips

Yield: 8 servings

INGREDIENTS

1 (15-ounce) can black beans, rinsed, drained

1 tablespoon prepared tapenade made with black or green olives

1 tablespoon crumbled feta cheese (brand augmented with herbs preferred)

1 tablespoon extra-virgin olive oil

1 large garlic clove, minced

1/4 teaspoon freshly ground black pepper

4 (6-inch) whole-wheat pitas, toasted, each cut into 8 wedges

PROCEDURE

In medium bowl, combine beans, tapenade, feta, oil, garlic and pepper; gently toss to combine. Using a fork, gently mash about 1/4 of beans with a wooden spoon; gently toss. Transfer to serving bowl and serve with pita wedges. If short on time, substitute store-bought pita crackers, but in most cases, this will alter the nutritional numbers.

 

Santa Anita consensus picks for Saturday Jan. 25

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The consensus box of picks comes from handicappers Bob Mieszerski, Art Wilson, Terry Turrell and Eddie Wilson. Here are the picks for Saturday, Jan. 25 for racing at Santa Anita.

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Trump lawyers argue Democrats just want to overturn election

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By ERIC TUCKER, LISA MASCARO and ZEKE MILLER

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump’s lawyers plunged into his impeachment trial defense Saturday by accusing Democrats of striving to overturn the 2016 election, arguing that investigations of Trump’s dealings with Ukraine have not been a fact-finding mission but a politically motivated effort to drive him from the White House.

“They’re here to perpetrate the most massive interference in an election in American history,” White House Counsel Pat Cipollone told senators. “And we can’t allow that to happen.”

The Trump legal team’s arguments in the rare Saturday session were aimed at rebutting allegations that the president abused his power when he asked Ukraine to investigate political rival Joe Biden and then obstructed Congress as it tried to investigate. The lawyers are mounting a wide-ranging, aggressive defense asserting an expansive view of presidential powers and portraying Trump as besieged by political opponents determined to ensure he won’t be reelected this November.

“They’re asking you to tear up all the ballots across this country on your own initiative, take that decision away from the American people,” Cipollone said.

Though Trump is the one on trial, the defense team made clear that it intends to paint the impeachment case as a mere continuation of the investigations that have shadowed the president since before he took office — including one into allegations of Russian election interference on his behalf. Trump attorney Jay Sekulow suggested Democrats were investigating the president over Ukraine simply because they couldn’t bring him down for Russia.

“That — for this,” said Sekulow, holding up a copy of special counsel Robert Mueller’s report, which he accused Democrats of attempting to “relitigate.” That report detailed ties between the 2016 Trump campaign and Russia but did not allege a criminal conspiracy to tip the election.

From the White House, Trump tweeted his response: “Any fair minded person watching the Senate trial today would be able to see how unfairly I have been treated and that this is indeed the totally partisan Impeachment Hoax that EVERYBODY, including the Democrats, truly knows it is.”

His team made only a two-hour presentation, reserving the heart of its case for Monday.

Acquittal appears likely, given that Republicans hold a 53-47 majority in the Senate, and a two-thirds vote would be required for conviction and removal from office. Republican senators already eager to clear Trump said Saturday that the White House presentation had shredded the Democratic case.

Several of the senators shook hands with Trump’s lawyers after their presentation. The visitors galleries were filled, onlookers watching for the historic proceedings and the rare weekend session of Senate.

The Trump attorneys are responding to two articles of impeachment approved last month by the House — one that accuses him of encouraging Ukraine to investigate Biden at the same time the administration withheld military aid from the country, and the other that accuses him of obstructing Congress by directing aides not to testify or produce documents.

Trump’s defense team took center stage following three days of methodical and passionate arguments from Democrats, who wrapped up Friday by warning that Trump will persist in abusing his power and endangering American democracy unless Congress intervenes to remove him before the 2020 election. They also implored Republicans to allow new testimony to be heard before senators render a final verdict.

“Give America a fair trial,” said California Rep. Adam Schiff, the lead Democratic impeachment manager. “She’s worth it.”

In making their case that Trump invited Ukraine to interfere in the 2020 election, the seven Democratic prosecutors peppered their arguments with video clips, email correspondence and lessons in American history. At stake, they said, was the security of U.S. elections, America’s place in the world and checks on presidential power

On Saturday morning, House managers made the procession across the Capitol at 9:30 to deliver the 28,578-page record of their case to the Senate.

Republicans accused Democrats of cherrypicking evidence and omitting information favorable to the president, casting in a nefarious light actions that Trump was legitimately empowered to take. They focused particular scorn on Schiff, trying to undercut his credibility.

Schiff later told reporters: “When your client is guilty, when your client is dead to rights, you don’t want to talk about your client, you want to attack the prosecution.”

The Trump team had teased the idea that it would draw attention on Biden and his son, Hunter, who served on the board of a Ukraine gas company Burisma, while his father was vice president. But neither Biden was a focus of Saturday arguments.

Instead, Republicans argued that there was no evidence that Trump made the security aid contingent on Ukraine announcing an investigation into the Bidens and that Ukraine didn’t even know that the money had been paused until shortly before it was released.

Trump had reason to be concerned about corruption in Ukraine and the aid was ultimately released, they said.

“Most of the Democratic witnesses have never spoken to the president at all, let alone about Ukraine security assistance,” said deputy White House Counsel Michael Purpura.

Pupura told the senators the July 25 call in which Trump asked Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskiy for the Biden investigation was consistent with the president’s concerns about corruption, though Trump never mentioned that word, according to the rough transcript released by the White House.

Pupura said everyone knows that when Trump asked Zelenskiy to “do us a favor,” he meant the U.S., not himself.

“This entire impeachment process is about the house managers’ insistence that they are able to read everybody’s thoughts,” Sekulow said. “They can read everybody’s intention. Even when the principal speakers, the witnesses themselves, insist that those interpretations are wrong.”

Defense lawyers say Trump was a victim not only of Democratic rage but also of overzealous agents and prosecutors. Sekulow cited mistakes made by the FBI in its surveillance of a former Trump campaign aide in the now-concluded Trump-Russia election investigation, and referred to the multi-million-dollar cost of that probe.

“You cannot simply decide this case in a vacuum,” he said.

One of the president’s lawyers, Alan Dershowitz, is expected to argue next week that an impeachable offense requires criminal-like conduct, even though many legal scholars say that’s not true. Sekulow also said the Bidens would be discussed in the days ahead.

The Senate is heading next week toward a pivotal vote on Democratic demands for testimony from top Trump aides, including acting chief of staff Mick Mulvaney and former national security adviser John Bolton, who refused to appear before the House. It would take four Republican senators to join the Democratic minority to seek witnesses, and so far the numbers appear lacking.

Sen. Lindsey Graham, a Republican ally of Trump’s, said he thought the legal team had successfully poked holes in the Democrats’ case and that the Democrats had “told a story probably beyond what the market would bear.”

He said he had spoken to Trump two days ago, when he was leaving Davos, Switzerland.

Asked if Trump had any observations on the trial, Graham replied: “Yeah, he hates it.”

___

Associated Press writers Mary Clare Jalonick, Alan Fram, Andrew Taylor, Laurie Kellman, Matthew Daly and Padmananda Rama contributed to this report.

Clippers, ‘connected’ in win over Heat, face Magic next

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The “work-in-progress” Clippers have done what they could recently to allay concerns over their togetherness, including winning Friday for the fifth time in six games and for the third in four games on the road.

With a victory Sunday in Orlando (3 p.m., Fox Sports Prime Ticket), Doc Rivers’ squad would roll back into L.A. – where they’ll complete their Grammy trip with a “road” game against the Lakers on Tuesday at Staples Center – with a 4-1 record on their swing through the southeast United States.

Take away the team’s only recent on-court blemish (a 21-point blown lead in a loss to the bottom-dwelling Atlanta Hawks, who were without All-Star Trae Young). Subtract the Athletic’s headline-making critique of team chemistry in a report that prominently featured Montrezl Harell’s comments after an ugly loss to Memphis on Feb. 4. Try to forget that Paul George is expected to miss his ninth consecutive game Sunday with a hamstring strain.

The Clippers had a good week.

All of Lou Williams’ teammates attended his court dedication ceremony at South Gwinnett High School in Snellville, Georgia, which Rivers considered “really cool.”

“That was optional,” Rivers told reporters in Miami. “That was not mandatory. We had two team buses; one for guys to go to Lou’s thing and the other to go to the airport. And everyone got on the first bus.”

That included Kawhi Leonard, who’s been on a tear, earning recognition as the Western Conference player of the week for the seventh time in his career and first as a Clipper and being named an All-Star starter for the fourth time.

On Friday in the Clippers’ 122-117 victory vs. the Miami Heat, he set a personal record by eclipsing 30 points in his seventh consecutive game while also notching the first triple-double (33 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists) of his nine-year career.

In a postgame interview on ESPN, Leonard said he was unfazed by reports analyzing the Clippers’ chemistry: “It doesn’t matter,” he said. “They don’t know what’s going on in the huddle.”

They do know what happened in the locker room postgame Friday, when the Moreno Valley native shared credit for his latest milestone. On the team’s Twitter account, the Clippers posted a video of Leonard accepting the game ball from Rivers, lofting it over his head for a moment and flashing a grin before telling his teammates: “It’s because of y’all. Y’all made shots. That’s all a triple-double is.”

Williams called the All-Star forward “selfless” and Rivers termed the team “unselfish” after Leonard’s 10 assists contributed to the Clippers’ season-high-tying total of 33, to go with only nine turnovers.

“We were all connected,” said guard Landry Shamet, who’s come alive lately, averaging 14.8 points on 47% shooting (including 42.9% from 3-point range) in the past six games. “We were all moving on a string.”

CLIPPERS AT MAGIC

When: 3 p.m. Sunday

Where: Amway Center, Orlando, Florida

TV: Fox Sports Prime Ticket

Case of coronavirus confirmed in Orange County; officials call risk of transmission ‘low’

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The OC Health Care Agency said it received confirmation from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on Saturday evening that an Orange County case has tested positive for the coronavirus that appears to have spread from China.

The patient, a “traveler from Wuhan, China, has been in contact with the HCA and was provided guidance in order to reduce exposure to the public while awaiting laboratory confirmation from the CDC. The individual has now been transported to a local hospital and is in isolation in good condition,” the HCA said in a statement.

The Orange County agency said it, in consultation with the CDC and the state Department of Public Health, is following up with all people who have had close contact with the patient.

It said:

–The HCA will monitor any close contacts and assure that proper evaluation and care is provided if they become ill.

–The CDC’s guidance indicates that people who have casual contact with a case (such as in the same grocery store or movie theater) are at minimal risk of developing infection.

–There is no evidence that person-to-person transmission has occurred in Orange County.

“The current risk of local transmission remains low,” the agency said in a statement.

Information about the coronavirus is on the OC agency’s website here.

Also Saturday, the new virus accelerated its spread in China with 56 deaths so far, and the U.S. Consulate in the epicenter of the outbreak, the central city of Wuhan, announced it will evacuate its personnel and some private citizens aboard a charter flight.

Chinese President Xi Jinping called the outbreak a grave situation, and the government stepped up efforts to restrict travel and public gatherings while rushing medical staff and supplies to Wuhan, which remains on lockdown.

The latest figures reported Sunday morning cover the previous 24 hours and mark an increase of 15 deaths and 688 cases for a total of 1,975 infections.

The government also reported five cases in Hong Kong, two in Macao and three in Taiwan. Small numbers of cases have been found in Thailand, Japan, South Korea, the U.S., Vietnam, Singapore, Malaysia, Nepal, France and Australia.

Canada said it discovered its first case, the man is his 50s who recently flew from Wuhan to Guangzhou, China, and then on to Toronto.

See also: Coronavirus outbreak closes Shanghai Disneyland and other China tourist destinations

 

Cal State Fullerton basketball wins Big West battle over CSUN

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  • Cal State Northridge forward Lamine Diane, center, goes up for a basket under pressure as Cal State Fullerton forward Davon Clare, left, and forward Jackson Rowe defend him during a Big West Conference game at Cal State Fullerton in Fullerton on Saturday, January 25, 2020. (Photo by Kyusung Gong/Contributing Photographer)

  • Cal State Fullerton forward Davon Clare, third from right, shoots over Cal State Northridge forward Jared Pearre during a Big West Conference game at Cal State Fullerton in Fullerton on Saturday, January 25, 2020. (Photo by Kyusung Gong/Contributing Photographer)

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  • Cal State Northridge head coach Mark Gottfried during a Big West Conference game at Cal State Fullerton in Fullerton on Saturday, January 25, 2020. (Photo by Kyusung Gong/Contributing Photographer)

  • Cal State Fullerton guard Brandon Kamga, left, goes up for a basket past Cal State Northridge forward Lamine Diane during a Big West Conference game at Cal State Fullerton in Fullerton on Saturday, January 25, 2020. (Photo by Kyusung Gong/Contributing Photographer)

  • Cal State Northridge forward Lamine Diane, left, and Cal State Fullerton forward Vincent Lee battle for a position during a Big West Conference game at Cal State Fullerton in Fullerton on Saturday, January 25, 2020. (Photo by Kyusung Gong/Contributing Photographer)

  • Cal State Northridge forward Lamine Diane, second from right, reacts after committing his fifth foul of the game during a Big West Conference game against Cal State Fullerton at Cal State Fullerton in Fullerton on Saturday, January 25, 2020. (Photo by Kyusung Gong/Contributing Photographer)

  • Cal State Fullerton forward Josh Pitts, right, and Cal State Northridge guard Brendan Harrick battle for a rebound during a Big West Conference game at Cal State Fullerton in Fullerton on Saturday, January 25, 2020. (Photo by Kyusung Gong/Contributing Photographer)

  • Cal State Fullerton head coach Dedrique Taylor watches his players during a Big West Conference game against Cal State Northridge at Cal State Fullerton in Fullerton on Saturday, January 25, 2020. (Photo by Kyusung Gong/Contributing Photographer)

  • Cal State Fullerton forward Davon Clare, center, goes up for a basket as Cal State Northridge forward Jared Pearre, left, and forward Lamine Diane defend during a Big West Conference game at Cal State Fullerton in Fullerton on Saturday, January 25, 2020. (Photo by Kyusung Gong/Contributing Photographer)

  • Cal State Fullerton guard Brandon Kamga, left, and guard Austen Awosika, right, celebrate Kamga’s three-point basket during a Big West Conference game against Cal State Northridge at Cal State Fullerton in Fullerton on Saturday, January 25, 2020. (Photo by Kyusung Gong/Contributing Photographer)

  • Cal State Fullerton guard Austen Awosika, right, draws a foul from Cal State Northridge forward Festus Ndumanya, center, during a Big West Conference game at Cal State Fullerton in Fullerton on Saturday, January 25, 2020. (Photo by Kyusung Gong/Contributing Photographer)

  • Cal State Northridge forward Lamine Diane during a Big West Conference game at Cal State Fullerton in Fullerton on Saturday, January 25, 2020. (Photo by Kyusung Gong/Contributing Photographer)

  • Cal State Northridge guard Elijah Harkless, front, and Cal State Fullerton forward Davon Clare look for a loose ball during a Big West Conference game at Cal State Fullerton in Fullerton on Saturday, January 25, 2020. (Photo by Kyusung Gong/Contributing Photographer)

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FULLERTON — Cal State Fullerton won a frantic Big West Conference game against Cal State Northridge on Saturday night at Titan Gym … by being patient.

The Titans won their third straight conference game, 82-75, with steady defense against the 3-point hungry Matadors and a thorough cleansing of rebounds. Brandon Kamga had 27 points, making his first six shots to spark a 14-point lead in the first half, and Jackson Rowe was seemingly involved in every big play in the second half.

The Titans (8-13 overall, 3-3 Big West) used a 13-5 run in the second half to take a 68-63 lead, but the Matadors (8-14, 3-3) rallied for a two-point lead at 72-70 with three minutes left.

Rowe, the senior forward from Toronto, drew a foul on a rebound and hit both free throws to tie the score. Rowe then stole a pass from Northridge’s Lamine Diane, leading to an easy transition basket by Kamga. Rowe was fouled by Diane on a rebound on the next possession and hit one free throw to give the Titans a 75-72 lead.

Terrell Gomez hit a long-range 3-pointer to tie the score with 1:18 left. On the ensuing possession, Rowe took a pass in the lane and was fouled by Diane with 62 seconds left, his fifth, leading to two free throws and a lively argument between CSUN coach Mark Gottfried and the officials.

Gottfried and his coaches pleaded with gusto for a traveling call on Rowe – Diane made contact from behind as Rowe awkwardly took the pass – and the officials chose to review the play, briefly frustrating Titans head coach Dedrique Taylor. “Yeah, I was worried, because you never know what they’ll look at and what they’ll see,” he said.

The officials stuck with the original call. Rowe made the first shot, and as the gym went quiet for the first time all night as Rowe prepared his second shot, Gottfried yelled “you really (bleeped) up the game.” His shout was probably heard in Santa Clarita.

The free throw was good and the officials hit Gottfried with a technical. Kamga hit the bonus free throws for a 79-75 lead and the Titans kept the Northridge shooters at bay in the final minute.

“When the adversity showed itself in that last minute, we stayed tough as a team,” Fullerton coach Dedrique Taylor said after the win. “We really played as a team all night. We played solid defense and shared the ball.”

Rowe finished with 14 points, made 9 of 12 free-throw attempts on a night when his jumper was errant and had six rebounds, four assists, three steals and four blocked shots, 90 percent of that output coming in the second half.

“That’s who he is,” Taylor said. “When he’s on the floor, he’s capable of making a big play, and not just in what you see in the stats. A defensive stop, a deflection, a loose ball.”

The Titans opened Big West play 0-3 but have shown a personality in their last three games that wasn’t there previously. Vincent Lee (nine rebounds) has developed in the post, freeing Rowe to use his perimeter skills, and Kamga – a native of Cameroon who is a grad transfer from High Point University – has emerged as an outside threat.

“The locker room is really good, we’re coming together as a team,” Kamga said. “The team has shown a lot of trust in me.”

Austen Awosika, the floor leader, was steady with 15 points, six assists and five rebounds, and Davon Clare had 10 rebounds in one of his best games of the season.

Diane had 32 points om 12-of-26 shooting to go with 12 rebounds, three assists, three blocks, but also the five fouls, three coming in a two-minute span late, and five turnovers. Gomez scored 20, all six of his field goals on 3-pointers.

“I think we’re becoming the team we thought we would be,” Taylor said. “There were a lot of things early in the season going on and we didn’t always have everyone available at the same time. What we got in the last week were good reps in practice.

“That’s not an easy team to play, with the 1-2 punch they have in Diane and Gomez. We won because we never stopped playing as a team.”

Next week, the Titans hit the road for Big West games at Cal Poly on Thursday and UC Irvine on Saturday.

Demographic undestiny

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Demography becomes destiny, the old adage goes. But many of the most confidently promoted demographic predictions have turned out grossly exaggerated or even dead wrong. In many cases they tend to reflect more the aspirations of pundits and reporters than the actual on-the-ground realities.

Good thing, too. Many of the most famous predictions about population growth tended to be dystopic, envisioning a hopelessly overcrowded planet increasingly divided by race, crammed into a handful of large cities, committed to ever greater government control and disinterested in anything smacking of religion. Yet despite the media’s embrace of these memes, they fortunately are often misleading and often simply wrong.

Exploding the population bomb

Paul Ehrlich’s “The Population Bomb,” for a half century the bible of the environmental left, flatly predicted a world where humanity would “breed ourselves into extinction.” Ehrlich’s vision of world plagued by mass starvation and chronic shortages of resources shaped the views of many scientists and pundits.

Today Ehrlich’s plea for population control has gained credence among climate activists, who believe we must stop having babies, even in low-fertility countries, so the kiddos don’t add to the “carbon legacy” that will hasten our ecological reckoning. These notions have been embraced at major universities, by the highly influential Guardian newspaper and such luminaries as Bill McKibben and the omnipresent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

Something very different has occurred on planet Earth. After rapid, and unsustainable demographic growth through the last decades of the 20th century, the rate of population increase has slowed markedly, not only in North America, Europe and Japan, but also in such developing countries as Brazil, Mexico, Cuba and, most importantly, China and India.

Already, a majority of the world’s people live in countries where the birth rates are below replacement levels. Contrary to Ehrlich’s predictions, and those of most environmental advocates, resources also have become more abundant as global poverty and malnutrition rates have plummeted.

Factors like urbanization, decline of traditional belief systems and the liberation of women may make UN predictions of a world of 10 to 11 billion people by 2100 likely overblown. Austrian demographer Wolfgang Lutz contends that rather than see a massive growth in population, population will grow from the current 7 to 8 billion by 2060 and then decline steeply. For the first time since the Middle Ages, deaths could outnumber births.

Back to the city?

One of the most persistent demographic claims in recent years has been the view that people were leaving the suburbs and “voting with their feet” for dense urban living. Yet once again, these predictions have been greatly exaggerated.

After a hopeful recovery from the massive declines experienced in the post-war era, the urban cores have lost their momentum; cities such as Los Angeles, New York and Chicago are losing population. For the first time the city of Los Angeles, not long ago one of the fastest-growing municipalities in the high-income world, has begun to experience population decline.

Meanwhile millennials have fled increasingly to suburban areas and toward large metros without sizeable pre-World War II cores. Since 2010 over 90 percent of all growth in large metropolitan areas has been in suburban areas. This shift increasingly includes minorities, not only in the United States but also the United Kingdom, Australia and Canada.

Most of America’s Latinos, Asians and African Americans already live in the suburbs, just like previous generations of white Americans. Many suburbs in western countries, particularly around the largest cities now depend on immigrants and non-whites to replace their aging, predominately white population.

Good-bye religion

Ever since the “secularization” thesis was popularized in the 1950s, the common assumption has been that religion would fade before the onslaught of science and modernity. To date, this prediction has been largely accurate, despite the resurgence of evangelical Christianity in the last decades of the 20th century and the rise, here and globally, of Islam.

Yet the future may be less thoroughly secular than some predict. The key issue here is what one British scientist has called “the religiosity gene.” Simply put, people with some faith orientation tend to be far more likely to have children than those thoroughly secular. In the United States the most fecund states, like South Dakota, North Dakota, Utah and Nebraska, tend to be places where religious institutions are strongest. In contrast, in the least faith-oriented parts of the country — San Francisco, Boston, Portland and Seattle — annual fertility rates are about one quarter or more below the national rate, according to American Community Survey data.

Eric Kauffman suggests in his provocative “The Religious Will Inherit the Earth” that the world, including even the West may become more religious, as those who remain committed to faith, like the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints, evangelicals, Muslims and Orthodox Jews, are far more likely to have children than the less observant and particularly the secular. These societies may never return to the religious norms of the past, but the demographic future may belong, in the long run at least, to those who remain committed to their faith.

The political equation

Perhaps nothing warms the hearts of the progressive clerisy than the notion that younger generations will re-ignite Baby Boomer radicalism. Yet the demographic trajectory here also may less profound than predicted. The Boomers have been shifting slowly to the right since the 1990s and the next dominant generation, the Xers, while slightly less conservative, are far more likely to identify as conservatives or moderates than liberals.

As Xers and now millennials — there are now 17 million millennial mothers with a new million every year — become parents, and often homeowners, they will likely moderate their politics, if not their party affiliation. Their social liberalism will likely remain, but they may not favor expanding federal power to enforce it. Barely one in four, according to Pew, trusts the federal government to “do the right thing.” This aversion to centralization conflicts with the increasingly radical proposals of progressive candidates.

Indeed in the recent British elections, the solutions proposed by the Labour Party’s Jeremy Corbyn, including the nationalization of large British industry, helped boost the Tories among younger voters.

Here in America a large contingent of white millennials — still the majority of their generation — may well support Trump, as they did in 2016. Some researchers, such as San Diego State’s Jean Twenge and Harvard’s John Della Volpe, suggest that millennials, and even more their successors, the so-called Z generation, may prove far more independent, as well as far less politically engaged at their age, than were Boomers.

Viewed realistically, our future demographics seem likely to produce a society far less predictable than that envisioned by pundits, academics and, yes, demographers. Looking hard at the data, it’s clear that the future, while far from predictable, could produce a society wildly different than anyone expects.

Joel Kotkin is the R.C. Hobbs Presidential Fellow in Urban Futures at Chapman University in Orange and executive director of the Houston-based Center for Opportunity Urbanism (www.opportunityurbanism.org).

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